The outlook of the wire and cable industry in the 5G era
5G, the fifth-generation communication technology, has a theoretical peak transmission speed of 1GB per 8 seconds, which is more than 10 times faster than the transmission speed of 4G networks.
5G has become the most popular communication term nowadays. The explosive growth of traffic and the rapid development of cloud computing, big data, Internet of Things and other industries have put forward higher requirements for network speed. At the same time, it also has technology in the wire and cable industry. Progress, product upgrading, and even management methods have brought profound changes.
5G brings not only technological changes, but also a huge market scale. It is estimated that by 2020, my country's base station scale alone will reach a market of 100 billion yuan. After entering 2019, the market scale of 5G will continue to expand.
With the implementation of "One Belt, One Road" and other strategies, while the network promotes the rapid development of China's electronic payment, it also promotes the development of my country's optical fiber and cable industry, and the advent of 5G brings new ideas to optical fiber and cable products with greater transmission capacity. The demand for optical fiber and cable also brings new opportunities and challenges to the future optical fiber and cable industry. CRU senior analyst Ms. Pan Yuya has a unique understanding of the future development of optical fiber and cable companies. She believes that in the future, intelligence will become a trend, and smart factories will become the development direction of optical fiber and cable companies. The transmission speed will become the most important requirement for fiber optic cables in the future, which will also promote the emergence of new optical fiber products, and ultra-low loss, ultra-large transmission capacity optical fibers and special optical fibers will become the "darlings" of the future market.
The arrival of 5G has put forward new requirements for the wire and cable industry.
For a long time, the wire and cable manufacturing industry has developed excessively and extensively. The overall production capacity of wires and cables is seriously surplus, the overall product quality is not high, market demand is weakened, competition is intensified, and costs are high. The utilization rate of ordinary wire and cable production equipment is generally less than 40%. If this development continues, it will be difficult to match the development speed of 5G.
Optical cables can transmit higher bandwidth, so they are an indispensable configuration for the processing speed of future 5G network products. To achieve rapid development, the necessary hardware is also indispensable. The difficulty to be solved in the future is more to improve the processing speed and density, while reducing the delay, consuming less energy, generating less heat and other technical issues.
5G construction has driven the growth of demand for multi-mode optical fibers and optical modules, as well as the demand for related optoelectronic cable products. In the construction of data centers, the demand for some typical optoelectronic cable products will increase. Products such as ribbon optical cables, active optical cables (SFP, QSFP connectors + optical cables), and differential signal transmission DAC (Twinax) cables that meet high-density wiring will all have a good market driven by the construction of 5G data centers Expansion capacity.
The arrival of 5G network provides a broader development space for a new generation of cables and connectors. The large-scale expansion of 4G + 5G will start commercial use in 2019, and the large-scale commercial use of 5G in 2020 will place higher requirements on cable products, such as the technical content, applicable conditions, and added value of the cable. According to the national plan for the main application areas of wire and cable-electric power (new energy, smart grid), rail transit, aerospace, marine engineering, etc., the future of my country's wire and cable industry is promising, and the industry product upgrade trend is obvious. It is expected to be 2024 The annual industry demand scale is expected to exceed 2 trillion yuan, and the blessing of 5G will further increase industrial production capacity.
The arrival of 5G is bound to stimulate the development of the global wire and cable industry. This means that if you want to better apply wires and cables to special industries, the technical content, applicable conditions, and added value of the cables will be much higher than ordinary industry applications, that is, the quality improvement of wires and cables is also the development of 5G networks One of the keys.
The era of 5G Internet of Things is coming. "5G base station densification + fronthaul optical fiber network" will open up a new growth space for optical fiber. Under the environment of accelerating investment in 5G by global operators, it will also require technical upgrades and product development in the optical fiber and cable industry. Renewal.
At present, 5G has become a hot spot in the industry, and it has also become an important driving factor for the development of the optoelectronic cable industry. 5G networks are developing in the direction of network diversification, broadbandization, integration and intelligence. With the popularity of various smart terminals, mobile data traffic will explode in 2020 and beyond. In the future, optoelectronic cable products that can play an important role in the construction of the 5G tide will win a broader market development space. Therefore, for the current development ecology of the wire and cable industry, it is necessary to follow the tide of the times, seize the opportunity, practice hard work, and plan for the future.